Saturday, November 3, 2012

Week 9 AFC East game picks: Dolphins at Colts

Lead writer Nick St. Denis and AFC East Daily contributors Dan Begnoche and Sean Donovan pick the Miami Dolphins' AFC road contest with the Indianapolis Colts.

Nick's take:
The Jets made the Colts' Andrew Luck-led offense stagnant via stout coverage. The Dolphins will do it with pressure. Miami's front-seven utilized a plethora of confusing looks last week in beating down the Jets, and they'll do the same against the rookie Luck. Offensively, Miami shouldn't have a problem running the ball, which will make Ryan Tannehill or Matt Moore's job easy.
Prediction: Dolphins 20, Colts 17

Sean's take:
The Dolphins open as slight road favorites over the Colts despite having the same win-loss record and the fact that Indianapolis has been very tough to beat at Lucas Oil Stadium. That may be giving too little credit to a Colts team that has beaten the Packers and Vikings this season. Still, the Dolphins are the overall better team. Miami's defense makes the Luck-led Colts one-dimensional, and the Dolphins grind out a close victory.
Prediction: Dolphins 23, Colts 17

Dan's take:
Miami's defense has stepped up during its three-game winning streak, averaging two turnovers a game, with many of them coming at crucial times. More importantly, the team has cut down on its own turnovers. Though Tannehill is listed as questionable, expect the offense to focus on controlling the clock and the run game, regardless of the QB. Despite the lack of production on the ground as of late, a two-pronged attack from Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas will exploit the league's sixth-worst rush defense.
Prediction: Dolphins 24, Colts 13